You are here: Home

Elliott Wave and Hurst Cycle Analysis of Treasury Bonds – by Sid from ElliottWavePredictions.com

 T-Bonds 30yr, TLT, TNX, Treasury Bonds  Comments Off on Elliott Wave and Hurst Cycle Analysis of Treasury Bonds – by Sid from ElliottWavePredictions.com
Jan 202016
 

Elliott Wave and Hurst Cycle Analysis of Treasury Bonds – by Sid from ElliottWavePredictions.com.

Wasn’t it just a few weeks ago that virtually every Elliottician and talking head fundamental analyst was expecting bond prices to plummet and yields soar?  The consensus expectation was initially that the July 2012 high in bonds was the end of the 30-year cycle, and then, when new highs occurred in January 2015, the overwhelming sentiment was that THAT high must finally be the end of the multi-decade uptrend in bond prices.  For the record, I’d like to present several unaltered screenshots that were originally provided to my EWP Counts Webinar and EWP ScreenShots subscribers over the past several quarters.  First, here’s my wave count on the TLT treasury bonds ETF from May 10, 2015:

TLT weekly 5-10-15

Also, included in that same May 10, 2015 edition of EWP ScreenShots  was the following long-term (monthly) chart of the  ZB futures contract (30-yr-T-Bonds):

30-yr-T-bonds ZB monthly 5-10-15 bonus chart

Moving forward a few months, on August 2, 2015 EWP ScreenShots subscribers received the following screenshot of TNX (10-yr note yield) – weekly candles.  Notice the clear 3-wave rise from the early 2015 low:

TNX weekly 8-2-15 bonus chart

All the while, Hurst Cycle Analysis was projecting ahead that the next 18-month (and potentially 4.5-year) Hurst cycle trough in stocks was due in March/April of 2016.  I’ve pointed out in every “Counts” webinar in since mid-2015 that investors would likely be jumping out of stocks and into safe-haven treasuries the closer we got to the first and second quarters of 2016, and that bond prices would rise into mid-2016, and yields would fall as a result.  This was the exact opposite of what the consensus expected all along.

Here’s the screenshots of TLT provided to paid subscribers on August  2, 2015:

TLT weekly 8-2-15

Notice the labeling of a large 18-month cycle trough at the June 26, 2016 low.

Then, in the November 15, 2015 edition of EWP ScreenShots, I was able to confidently label the November 9 low in TLT as the 20-week cycle trough, which was likely to be followed by strong upward movement into the projected mid-2016 large-cycle top (see screenshot below):

TLT weekly 11-15-15

So rather than calling for bonds to crash lower week after week, and month after month like the great majority of analysts, my paid subscribers were on the right side of the bonds trade going back many months and quarters, and still are.  They were even given a pretty good idea of when the smaller moves to the upside and downside would occur, in keeping with the shorter cycles, like the 40-day and 80-day, which I show on the daily, 240-minute, and 60-minute charts each Sunday and Wednesday.

Has your current subscription service correctly forecast market direction in bonds in recent quarters?  Does it combine multiple robust methodologies of technical analysis to derive a high confidence directional forecast?  If not, you really should give my paid subscription services a serious look.

Please join me for my Weekly “Counts” Webinar, where I go over all of my Elliott Wave counts and associated Fibonacci price targets for many of the world’s major stocks markets, commodities, currencies, and bonds.  Hurst cycle analysis is considered on almost all items.  A link to the recording of the webinar is emailed to all “Counts” webinar subscribers immediately afterward, whether they were able to attend “live” or not.  Alternatively, my EWP ScreenShots service provides updated multi-timeframe analysis of the SPX, DAX, Gold, Oil, TLT, US$ (DX), & EUR/USD currency pair twice each week.  All “Counts” webinar subscribers receive EWP ScreenShots as a free bonus.  Many traders and investors have found my analysis quite profitable.

Sid Norris
http://elliottwavepredictions.com

Highlights from Sid’s January 10, 2016 “Counts” Webinar – from ElliottWavePredictions.com

 Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500  Comments Off on Highlights from Sid’s January 10, 2016 “Counts” Webinar – from ElliottWavePredictions.com
Jan 162016
 

Highlights from Sid’s January 10, 2016 “Counts” Webinar, featuring the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P-500 – from ElliottWavePredictions.com.

A week ago, I posted highlights from the January 3 “Counts” webinar, indicating that I thought the week of Jan 4-8 would be a strong down week in the stock markets.  As it turned out, the markets did move strongly to the downside that week.

The video below contains a few highlights from my January 10 “Counts webinar.  In it, I explain the reasons why I thought there would be a small bounce into about Tuesday, January 12, to be followed by strong downward movement.  That prediction, once again, was quite accurate, as the stocks markets recovered slightly, into Tuesday/Wednesday, followed by strong downside continuation.  Click on the graphic below to view the 12-minute video clip . .

1-10-16 Counts Webinar Highlights Thumbnail

Did your current subscription service correctly forecast market direction the last several weeks?  Does it combine multiple robust methodologies of technical analysis to derive a high confidence directional forecast?  If not, you really should give my paid subscription services a serious look.

Please join me for my Weekly “Counts” Webinar, where I go over all of my Elliott Wave counts and associated Fibonacci price targets for many of the world’s major stocks markets, commodities, currencies, and bonds.  Hurst cycle analysis is considered on almost all items.  A link to the recording of the webinar is emailed to all “Counts” webinar subscribers immediately afterward, whether they were able to attend “live” or not.  Alternatively, my EWP ScreenShots service provides updated multi-timeframe analysis of the SPX, DAX, Gold, Oil, TLT, US$ (DX), & EUR/USD currency pair twice each week.  All “Counts” webinar subscribers receive EWP ScreenShots as a free bonus.  Many traders and investors have found my analysis quite profitable.

Sid Norris
http://elliottwavepredictions.com

P.S.  Please don’t make the mistake of placing trades based on the analysis shown in week-old videos!  The reason I’m posting these most recent videos is to show how my directional forecast fared last week.  Elliott Wave interpretation, Fibonacci price targets, and Hurst cycle dates can and do morph.  To receive fresh information from me every Sunday and Wednesday, please subscribe to one of the paid services listed above.  Thanks . .

Sid’s Combined Elliott Wave & Hurst Cycle Analysis of the S&P-500 (SPX) from his January 3, 2016 “Counts” Webinar – ElliottWavePredictions.com

 S&P 500  Comments Off on Sid’s Combined Elliott Wave & Hurst Cycle Analysis of the S&P-500 (SPX) from his January 3, 2016 “Counts” Webinar – ElliottWavePredictions.com
Jan 062016
 

Sid’s Combined Elliott Wave & Hurst Cycle Analysis of the S&P-500 (SPX) from his January 3, 2016 “Counts” Webinar – ElliottWavePredictions.com.

The 5-minute video clip below is from my January 3, 2016 “Counts Webinar.  Did your current subscription service predict strong downside continuation to new lows below the November and December lows in stocks this week?  Click on the thumbnail below to view the short clip from Sunday’s broadcast.

Highlights of 1-3-16 webinar thumbnail

Does you current subscription service show detail on multiple timeframe charts? Does is show a main and an alternate, invalidation points for both, and the most likely Fibonacci targets? Does it also consider Hurst cycle analysis, projecting date ranges for coming projected peaks and troughs on multiple timeframes? If not, please give my services a serious look. I’ve said it before, and I’ll continue to say it: I’m finding that the combination of Elliott Wave and Hurst Cycle analysis is more powerful than the individual methodologies in isolation.

Please join me for my Weekly “Counts” Webinar, where I go over all of my Elliott Wave counts and associated Fibonacci price targets for many of the world’s major stocks markets, commodities, currencies, and bonds.  Hurst cycle analysis is considered on almost all items.  A link to the recording of the webinar is emailed to all “Counts” webinar subscribers immediately afterward, whether they were able to attend “live” or not.  Alternatively, my EWP ScreenShots service provides updated multi-timeframe analysis of the SPX, DAX, Gold, Oil, TLT, US$ (DX), & EUR/USD currency pair twice each week.  All “Counts” webinar subscribers receive EWP ScreenShots as a free bonus.  Many traders and investors have found my analysis quite profitable.

Sid Norris
http://elliottwavepredictions.com

P.S.  You really should be checking out BitGold about now.

Content Protected Using Blog Protector By: PcDrome. & GeekyCube.
ewplogotransorangews

We should stay in touch!

Register to automatically receive email notification of important new market analysis from Sid.  Register now and we'll send you FREE access to Sid's newest educational video: "Introduction to How I Combine Elliott Wave & Hurst Cycle Analysis".

You have Successfully Subscribed!