Although the above chart depicts that an intermediate top is in, I’m waiting for confirmation in the form of movement below 2328.25 (the extreme of subminuette wave 1 orange) before even considering getting short. Also, it would be nice to be able to at least count 5 waves down from the high on 5 minute chart. That’s where the bad news comes in (if you’re looking to get short) , because downward price action so far (on the 5m timeframe), although starting with a very quick (possibly submicro degree) 5 waves down for what appeared to be an impulsive wave 1, has now turned choppy and overlapping during subsequent downward movement, right where an impulsive wave 3 down would be expected. Not a good sign for the bears. So, the jury is still out on whether this is really the beginning of a larger correction or not.
One additional problem, the NY stock market is on holiday today, so I think it would be unwise to be drawing conclusions without all the “strong hands” in the game . .
See http://elliottwavepredictions.com/?p=11 for my current (but tentative) long-term count on the US stock market.
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