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Sep 172011
 

DJIA 45m 9 17 11 1024x576 Elliott Wave Analysis of the DJIA and Euro by Sid from ElliottWavePredictions.com

EURUSD 180m 9 17 112 1024x576 Elliott Wave Analysis of the DJIA and Euro by Sid from ElliottWavePredictions.com

Elliott Wave Analysis of the DJIA and Euro by Sid from ElliottWavePredictions.com. Click on the charts twice to enlarge.

I think this next week is a bit of a crap shoot. We are due a pink wave “b” in the DJIA and SPX, but it could be short & quick (if blue Y equals blue W in duration and length), or a more normal .382-.618 fib zone retracement. Both are depicted on the attached DJIA chart. I continue to like the time frame laid out in last weekend’s webinar, and believe that this wave B burgundy correction in the Industrials (& SPX) will likely be with us all the way to year end, and is highly likely to end above the range carved out so far since August 9.

As for the EUR/USD currency pair, if it invalidates a 5-wave downward impulse by moving above 1.3973 (before moving below 1.34979), the coordinated manipulative effort by the Central Banks worked for now, and the big move down in the Euro from Aug 29 is most likely just another X wave in an extended triple-zigzag wave 2 black, although there are other more bullish scenarios, but I find those less likely at this juncture.

Due to some business matters that came up last night, I won’t be able to spend all day Saturday counting waves and preparing main and alternate counts using multiple timeframes on all of the two dozen items covered in the LIVE Sunday webinars, so I’m offering this post as a cheap replacement, and will be back in the saddle for the Sunday, Sept 25 webinar. Have a great week!

P.S. This might be a good week to check out my 2-hour recorded educational webinar: “Early Detection of Trend Changes Using a Combination of Elliott Wave, MACD, and Japanese Candlesticks”. In that movie, I go over a number of techniques, including exactly how to synchronize your charts to the “gear” the market is currently in. This technique helps you hone in to the chart timeframe most likely to offer a reliable trend change signal based on MACD divergence.

Sid
http://ElliottWavePredictions.com

Jul 262011
 

DJIA YM 360m 7 26 11 1024x576 Quick Update on the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA (YM Futures Contract) by Sid from ElliottWavePredictions.com

Quick Update on the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA (YM Futures Contract) by Sid from ElliottWavePredictions.com.  Click on the chart twice to enlarge.

The trading week started with a gap lower, followed by choppy upward movement.  We now have what easily could be interpreted as a completed 5th wave, supported by MACD divergence between the 3rd and 5th waves, not only on a 360 minute chart (shown), but on charts as long as daily.  Also, on a weekly chart, the slightest bit of further downward movement will solidify a large MACD double divergence that started back in mid-February.  So, even though I’m still classifying this count as alternate #1, there is strong evidence forming that it may be correct.

Sid
http://ElliottWavePredictions.com

Note Added on August 9, 2011: Eleven minutes after publishing this post, the Dow opened at 12,592, and immediately started dropping at at record pace,  finally pausing at 10,810 after only ten trading days . . a drop of 1782 points, or 14.2%!  The lesson I’ll take away from this historic post:  The combination of a strong, MACD supported Elliott Wave perspective, (knowing that the top was either already “in”, or very nearly so), and the appearance of crystal clear MACD divergence, not only on the key 180-360 minute charts, but following though onto the daily chart, made for a very timely signal of imminent major trend change. 

Jul 232011
 

Elliott Wave Video Analysis of the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA by Sid from ElliottWavePredictions.com. Be sure and set the video to HD and full screen using the YouTube controls in the lower right hand corner of the viewer.

Covered topics are: 1) examination of my current wave count for the Industrials on quarterly, weekly, & daily charts, 2) the similarity of the movement since January 2000 in the Dow, and the sideways, choppy Cycle degree wave 4 from 1966 through 1982, 3) the Dow-Theory non-confirmation trend-change signal that is likely to stay in tact, and 4) a target date for a turn in the US stock markets, as well as the US Dollar Index, and many others instruments.

Please join me in one or both of tomorrow’s LIVE webinars, or, if you can’t attend “live”, registering will automatically get you streaming access to the video recording(s) of the webinars as soon as they are finished, which can be played over and over, paused, etc. for 2 weeks. Here’s more info on the webinars . .

Sid
http://ElliottWavePredictions.com

May 212011
 

Elliott Wave Video Video Analysis of the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA by Sid from ElliottWavePredictions.com. Click inside the YouTube frame above to play. For best viewing, change the settings to 720p and full screen in the lower right hand corner of the YouTube viewer.

See the previous post for additional written explanation of my Elliott Wave count and prediction for the Dow Jones Industrials. Thanks . . Sid
http://ElliottWavePredictions.com

Please join me for tommorow’s webinar(s) (or just register to receive the recording(s) soon as soon as they’re over). There’s one where I teach how to use traditional indicators to make wave counting easier and more accurate, and another that goes over all of my Elliott Wave counts and expectations for the major stock markets, commodities, and currencies. Thanks . .

Sid
http://ElliottWavePredictions.com

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