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Sep 172011
 

DJIA 45m 9 17 11 1024x576 Elliott Wave Analysis of the DJIA and Euro by Sid from ElliottWavePredictions.com

EURUSD 180m 9 17 112 1024x576 Elliott Wave Analysis of the DJIA and Euro by Sid from ElliottWavePredictions.com

Elliott Wave Analysis of the DJIA and Euro by Sid from ElliottWavePredictions.com. Click on the charts twice to enlarge.

I think this next week is a bit of a crap shoot. We are due a pink wave “b” in the DJIA and SPX, but it could be short & quick (if blue Y equals blue W in duration and length), or a more normal .382-.618 fib zone retracement. Both are depicted on the attached DJIA chart. I continue to like the time frame laid out in last weekend’s webinar, and believe that this wave B burgundy correction in the Industrials (& SPX) will likely be with us all the way to year end, and is highly likely to end above the range carved out so far since August 9.

As for the EUR/USD currency pair, if it invalidates a 5-wave downward impulse by moving above 1.3973 (before moving below 1.34979), the coordinated manipulative effort by the Central Banks worked for now, and the big move down in the Euro from Aug 29 is most likely just another X wave in an extended triple-zigzag wave 2 black, although there are other more bullish scenarios, but I find those less likely at this juncture.

Due to some business matters that came up last night, I won’t be able to spend all day Saturday counting waves and preparing main and alternate counts using multiple timeframes on all of the two dozen items covered in the LIVE Sunday webinars, so I’m offering this post as a cheap replacement, and will be back in the saddle for the Sunday, Sept 25 webinar. Have a great week!

P.S. This might be a good week to check out my 2-hour recorded educational webinar: “Early Detection of Trend Changes Using a Combination of Elliott Wave, MACD, and Japanese Candlesticks”. In that movie, I go over a number of techniques, including exactly how to synchronize your charts to the “gear” the market is currently in. This technique helps you hone in to the chart timeframe most likely to offer a reliable trend change signal based on MACD divergence.

Sid
http://ElliottWavePredictions.com

Sep 082011
 

EURUSD 60m 9 8 116 1024x576 Elliott Wave Analysis of the EUR/USD Currency Pair by Sid from ElliottWavePredictions.com

Elliott Wave Analysis of the EUR/USD Currency Pair by Sid from ElliottWavePredictions.com. Click on the chart twice to enlarge.

If the Euro moves below 1.37951, this will be the final confirmation in my opinion that Wave 3 blue within wave 3 black is underway. Within wave 1 blue, the fibonacci relationship where wave 5 pink was .618 times the net traveled by waves 1 through 3 pink lends confidence to this count. If the Euro is carving out an expanded flat for wave 2 blue, and the chances of that have diminished considerably since wave B has now moved well past 1.3821 X A, the max it can go is 1.37951, which is 2X wave A.

This is after all, what gives every appearance of being a wave 3 at intermediate degree, so its unlikely to pause much for additional passengers to climb aboard.

Please join me for my regular live Sunday webinar, where I’ll explain my long, intermediate, and short-term main and alternate wave counts for the major world stock markets, currencies, and commodities. Here’s how to register.

Thanks,
Sid
http://ElliottWavePredictions.com

Sep 062011
 

EURO weekly 9 6 11 1024x576 Elliott Wave Analysis of the EUR/USD Currency Pair by Sid from ElliottWavePredictions.com

EURO daily 9 6 11 1024x576 Elliott Wave Analysis of the EUR/USD Currency Pair by Sid from ElliottWavePredictions.com

EURO 480m 9 6 112 1024x576 Elliott Wave Analysis of the EUR/USD Currency Pair by Sid from ElliottWavePredictions.com

EURO 90m 9 6 112 1024x576 Elliott Wave Analysis of the EUR/USD Currency Pair by Sid from ElliottWavePredictions.com

Elliott Wave Analysis of the EUR/USD Currency Pair by Sid from ElliottWavePredictions.com. Click on each chart twice to enlarge.

Here are my updated and slightly revised long, intermediate, and short-term Elliott Wave counts for the EUR/USD currency pair. The expectation moving forward is very similar to my truncation count from before. These new main counts depict that an intermediate degree bearish wave 3 commenced on August 29. After waves 3, 4, and 5 black are finished, the Euro should be below 1.233.

Short term, wave 2 blue (within wave 3 black) may have finished very quickly, but I think its more likely to still be underway as an expanded or running flat, and recover some ground during the news releases over the next couple of days. If the Euro continues aggressively downward, the maximum depth if the Euro is still in wave b of an expanded flat for wave 2 blue is 1.3800. Movement below 1.38 will therefore be final confirmation that wave 3 blue within wave 3 black is underway.

I also have several long-term alternate counts, which I’ll show in my weekend webinar on Sunday, including one that counts the down move in the Euro from July through October of 2008 as a zigzag rather than an impulse, and therefore, since the high in July 2008, we may have seen a W-X-Y-X, and are now in wave Z of a triple zigzag. This would mean that the Z-wave would not be required to move below anything in particular, but must be at least a large zigzag, most likely commensurate with the previous W and Y waves within that alternate count.

Sid
http://ElliottWavePredictions.com

Sep 022011
 

EURUSD 90m 9 2 114 1024x576 Elliott Wave Analysis of the EUR/USD Currency Pair by Sid from ElliottWavePredictions.com

Elliott Wave Analysis of the EUR/USD Currency Pair by Sid from ElliottWavePredictions.com. Click on the chart twice to enlarge.

Here’s my end-of-the-week “take” on the Euro. Next week is important, and there are three things I’ll be on the lookout for as confirmations of a major trend change: 1) a clear 5th wave down, with MACD divergence on 180-260 minute charts during wave 5; 2) a break of the (blue) trend line connecting the extremes of blue waves 2 (Jan 10) and 4 (July 12); and ultimately: 3) a break of 1.4055.

Sid
http://ElliottWavePredictions.com

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